Research on system-of-systems combat simulation model formal specification and representation

1. INTRODUCTION Weapon equipments acquisition and demonstration has become more and more prominent in the informationalized war conditions while operational effectiveness evaluation is its core part. The compl- exity and uncertainty of weapon systems operational effectiveness evaluation make traditional analysis methods or expert evaluation methods less effective to solve problems. Simulation based operational effe- ctiveness evaluation is an efficient solution. The increased complexity o…     

Relationships of the Monetary Policy, Stock Market and Real Investment in China Based on Markov-Switching Model

This paper studies the relationships of the monetary policy, stock market and real investment in China based on Markov-Switching-Vector Error Correction Model. It shows that there is a cointegration relationship among the three ones. We disclose the riddle that the stock market is in recession, but the growth rate of economy is very high in recent years. We also find that Chinese economy operated stably most of the time during the past 8 years. But if the economy is difficult to continue its high growth, it is more likely to appear ＂hard landing＂ than ＂soft landing＂. The impulse response analysis indicates the asymmetry between the ＂too cold＂ economy regime and the ＂too hot＂ regime. And the economy will oscillate during the subsequent time when it is shocked under the ＂too hot＂ regime.     

Using the Viable Systems Model to Structure a System Dynamics Mapping and Modeling Project for the Australian Taxation Office

This paper is a case study of a major System Dynamics (SD) intervention in policy design in the Australian Taxation Office. The project, which lasted two years, tested a number of hypotheses regarding the application of Stafford Beer's Viable Systems Model (VSM) to the structure and process of the project. The paper reports that the success of the VSM within the ATO was qualified by political changes in the external environment.     

砂土液化判别最优BP神经网络模型

利用BP网络模型在解决砂土液化评价这类非线性问题方面的优势,选取不同的参数组合,建立不同的砂土液化判别BP神经网络模型,并根据现场实测资料进行比较分析.结果表明,以地震烈度、标准贯入点深度、地下水位深度、标贯击数、不均匀系数及地震剪应力比作为输入节点的砂土液化判别BP神经网络模型最为合理.     

基于运动生物力学的三维人体运动模型

针对三维虚拟仿真中人体模型标准定义不统一的问题,从运动生物力学的角度出发,提出了层次化建立人体运动模型的方法。首先将人体运动中的关节进行了分类,然后描述了一种通用的人体模型并定义了其数据结构。对手、足、脊柱等具有特殊运动特性的器官进行了单独分析和定义。这一人体模型表示方法在具有生物力学特性的人体运动表示中有较好的通用性。     

一个支持战争分析仿真实验的策略模型

针对战争分析仿真实验运行控制过程中的新要求,在介绍战争分析仿真引擎的基础上,提出一种支持战争分析仿真实验的仿真运行机制模型,即集成策略-运行策略-应用策略模型,并给出了相关的关键算法,使得能够实现模型集成和驱动机制、可控实验、单方评估/对抗仿真等多种仿真需求,完成对战争分析的虚拟实验。     

基于模糊神经网络的车辆避撞预警算法

为实现车辆的智能控制提供理论基础，研究了碰撞预警算法．在分析不同驾驶员的驾驶行为的基础上，确定碰撞预警算法的报警准则，用于指导报警算法做出合理的报警．基于报警准则采用模糊神经网络方法，提出一种多输入、多输出的协作预警算法模型，用于支持碰撞预警系统．利用实测数据对预警算法进行测试，试验结果表明，算法能够对车辆碰撞进行有效的报警，对提高车辆行驶的安全性具有重要意义．     

车辆点焊结构的非线性力学特性

在点焊接头组织、结构特性分析的基础上，采用局部应力分析方法，研究了点焊搭接结构在拉伸剪切状态下焊点处的非线性力学特性，建立了弹塑性条件下的非线性有限元模型．研究结果表明：应力在焊点上的分布是不均匀的，且存在较明显的应力集中现象。应力集中主要出现在焊点与板的结合面处。与正应力相比，剪应力在边缘部位的应力集中现象更为明显，因此，剪应力应作为车辆点焊结构安全评价的主要判据。     

深基坑降水与地面沉降变形三维耦合数值模拟

以比奥固结理论为基础，考虑土体的非线性特征及土的渗透性随应力状态的动态变化，将地下水渗流场和土体应力场进行耦合，建立了深基坑降水与地面沉降变形的水土全耦合三维数学模型，并采用三维有限元数值分析方法，以上海市环球金融中心深基坑降水为例，模拟预测了基坑中心水位降至标高-23．4m时基坑周围地下水渗流场与地面沉降变形场的分布特征．结果表明，该模型稳定性好，收敛速度快，能模拟复杂三维地质体和整个基坑降水工程的结构。     

数学建模竞赛活动的一个系统化模式设计

通过结合近几年组织数学建模教学和指导学生参加数学建模竞赛的实践，设计了一个具有本院特色的数学建模竞赛活动的系统化模式。